De-risking Commodities
Portfolio Changes to Reduce Metals Exposure
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We enter a pullback…but we also just got started. Timeframes matter.
The Dollar
The 15 year uptrend in the trade-weighted Dollar is hanging by a thread but we did save the breakdown horizontally which matters for now.
That bounce was a big deal to close the month. It makes FEB very important for the DXY and of course Passport stocks.
The Scoreboard
The US is now beating 7 countries but badly underperforming a couple dozen others. Indonesia is now the worst on the year but we think they likely fix their issues MSCI raised.
Interesting Data
Australia - EWA 0.00%↑
Getting warm in here…
Mexico - EWW 0.00%↑
Impressive.
Australia - EWA 0.00%↑
Trimmed mean inflation in Australia bouncing well north of the old range. Folks not only do not see hikes but more cutting yet so the next print sure matters.
Indonesia - EIDO 0.00%↑
Indonesia has political issues galore and now some MSCI issues but they look to keep growing at 5% with sub 3% inflation and sub 5% unemployment.
India - INDA 0.00%↑
Industrial production best growth since 2023 in India.
Brazil - EWZ 0.00%↑
Not ideal…
Japan - EWJ 0.00%↑
Tokyo inflation was cool (ex food/energy pictured).
Interesting News
Argentina - ARGT 0.00%↑
Bold strategy Cotton…
India - INDA 0.00%↑
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